Match Info
WNBADate: 3 August 2026, MondayLocation: Wintrust Arena (Chicago, IL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
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 |
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 |
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Chicago Sky |
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Phoenix Mercury |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
|
1.72 |
Watch |
 |
2.05 |
|
1.80 |
|
 |
2.02 |
|
1.78 |
|
 |
2.18 |
|
1.75 |
|
 |
1.99 |
|
1.78 |
Watch |
 |
2.11 |
|
1.73 |
|
 |
2.11 |
|
1.76 |
|
 |
2.04 |
|
1.79 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.75) |
|
1.76 ↓ (1.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chicago Sky 46% | Phoenix Mercury 54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Sky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Sky's form might have worsened.Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Mercury's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Sky than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Chicago Sky - Phoenix Mercury Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Phoenix will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 180.5, OT - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:91 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
10. Cardoso K.
| 24. Bonner D.
|
9. Cloud N.
| 1. Brochant N.
|
35. Coulibaly A.
| 2. Copper K.
|
12. Taylor S.
| 4. Mack N.
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22. Vandersloot C.
| 25. Thomas A.
|
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1636:1634. (average 81.8:81.7).Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 740:722. (average 82.2:80.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 07.07.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky | 66:77 | | 15.05.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky | 91:83 | | 25.04.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky | 108:104 | | 28.08.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky | 83:79 | | 03.08.25 | Chicago Sky - Phoenix Mercury | 67:83 | | 21.06.25 | Chicago Sky - Phoenix Mercury | 86:107 | | 27.05.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky | 94:89 |
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