Match Info

NBL

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Manawatu (Palmerston North)


	Manawatu Jets		Hawkes Bay Hawks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.04	8.25
	1.09	5.80	Watch
	1.03	8.29
	1.11	5.53	Watch
	1.01	8.10
	1.02	9.10
	1.05	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.19)	7.41 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manawatu Jets
87.6%

Hawkes Bay Hawks
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manawatu Jets's performance.

Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 104:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Poplar Jr. J. A.	28. Burton A.
10. Sand K.	88. Jeter C.
4. Small I.	3. Kara K.
9. Webster C. (C)	23. McLaughlin J.
0. Webster T.	7. Murphy J.
Substitutes
3. Caldwell B.	12. Allan I.
5. Collins D.	2. Casson B.
21. Essahaty A.	1. Costley K.
25. Evans K.	76. Deck E.
8. Makoii I.	24. Eagle E.
36. Reed J.	6. Singh L.
2. Richards L.	10. Taylor M.
Coaches
. Webster T.	. Lopez W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Hawkes Bay Hawks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Manawatu Jets is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1558:1742. (average 86.6:96.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu Jets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 722:760. (average 90.3:95).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
03.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	99:65 ✺
25.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	104:97 ✺
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79 ✺
14.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Tauranga Whai	92:96 ✺
31.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Wellington Saints	84:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Hawkes Bay Hawks
New Zealand NBL
02.07.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	74:96 ✺
27.06.26	Canterbury Rams - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:77 ✺
22.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Southland Sharks	93:117 ✺
20.06.26	Auckland Tuatara - Hawkes Bay Hawks	85:74 ✺
13.06.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Franklin Bulls	101:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
17.04.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	102:109
18.04.25	Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks	103:91
14.03.25	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	103:100
06.07.24	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	97:78
11.04.24	Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks	89:92
15.07.23	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets	106:81
07.05.23	Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:88

Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide