Match Info
NBLDate: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Arena Manawatu (Palmerston North)
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Manawatu Jets |
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Hawkes Bay Hawks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.04 |
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8.25 |
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1.09 |
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5.80 |
Watch |
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1.03 |
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8.29 |
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1.11 |
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5.53 |
Watch |
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1.01 |
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8.10 |
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1.02 |
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9.10 |
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1.05 |
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6.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.05 ↓
(1.19) |
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7.41 ↑
(3.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 190.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manawatu Jets
87.6% | Hawkes Bay Hawks
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manawatu Jets's performance.Hawkes Bay Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 104:86 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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24.  Poplar Jr. J. A.
| 28.  Burton A.
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10. Sand K.
| 88. Jeter C.
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4. Small I.
| 3. Kara K.
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9. Webster C. (C)
| 23. McLaughlin J.
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0. Webster T.
| 7. Murphy J.
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| Substitutes |
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3. Caldwell B.
| 12. Allan I.
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5. Collins D.
| 2. Casson B.
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21.  Essahaty A.
| 1. Costley K.
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25. Evans K.
| 76. Deck E.
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8. Makoii I.
| 24. Eagle E.
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36. Reed J.
| 6. Singh L.
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2. Richards L.
| 10. Taylor M.
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| Coaches |
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. Webster T.
| . Lopez W.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 2.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Hawkes Bay Hawks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Manawatu Jets is a strong favorite.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1558:1742. (average 86.6:96.8).Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu Jets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 722:760. (average 90.3:95).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Manawatu Jets | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1754:1904 | 14 |
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| 11 | Bay Hawks | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1641:1848 | 6 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 17.04.26 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets | 102:109 | | 18.04.25 | Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 103:91 | | 14.03.25 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets | 103:100 | | 06.07.24 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets | 97:78 | | 11.04.24 | Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 89:92 | | 15.07.23 | Hawkes Bay Hawks - Manawatu Jets | 106:81 | | 07.05.23 | Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks | 93:88 |
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