Match Info

NBL

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Manawatu (Palmerston North)


	Manawatu Jets		Nelson Giants

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.61	2.21
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.61	2.16
	1.61	2.18
	1.60	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manawatu Jets
57.2%

Nelson Giants
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manawatu Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Nelson Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Poplar Jr. J. A.	3. Gatling S.
10. Sand K.	77. Luukkonen E.
4. Small I.	0. McNaught A. (C)
9. Webster C. (C)	5. Perrott-Hunt K.
0. Webster T.	18. Smith-Milner T.
Substitutes
3. Caldwell B.	1. Inwood E.
5. Collins D.	67. Judd L.
21. Essahaty A.	35. Matthews J.
25. Evans K.	11. Nickel J.
8. Makoii I.	12. Rampton Z.
36. Reed J.	43. Saylor D.
2. Richards L.	7. Varricchio R.
Coaches
. Webster T.	. Fitchett M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1739:1887. (average 87:94.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu Jets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 891:935. (average 89.1:93.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
11.07.26	Manawatu Jets - Hawkes Bay Hawks	97:88 ✺
03.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	99:65 ✺
25.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	104:97 ✺
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79 ✺
14.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Tauranga Whai	92:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Nelson Giants
New Zealand NBL
11.07.26	Southland Sharks - Nelson Giants	83:71 ✺
04.07.26	Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls	88:85 ✺
28.06.26	Nelson Giants - Auckland Tuatara	82:88 ✺
26.06.26	Wellington Saints - Nelson Giants	111:109 OT ✺
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79
07.06.25	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	109:89
03.05.25	Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants	112:104 OT
22.06.24	Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants	77:104
17.04.24	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:77
01.07.23	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:87
23.04.23	Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants	84:74

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide