The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miami Heat 72.3%
Golden State Warriors 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
51.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Golden State Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-24.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (+24.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Golden State Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
0%
61.5%
Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Golden State will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Golden State: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Golden State (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Golden State (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 123:112
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Larsson P.
4. Moody M.
22. Wiggins A.
15. Santos G.
13. Adebayo B.
32. Jackson-Davis T.
24. Powell N.
3. Richard W.
45. Mitchell D.
2. Podziemski B.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.
. Kerr S.
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Golden State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
Recently, Golden State has had a series of away games.
Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B.
(Toe Injury)
Herro T.
(Ankle Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Golden State: Kuminga J.
(Knee Injury)
Melton D.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2099:2049. (average 105:102.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 984:934. (average 109.3:103.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Miami Heat - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
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World
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Larsson P. 
Moody M. 
Wiggins A. 
Santos G. 
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