Match Info

NCAA

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Monmouth Hawks		Stony Brook Seawolves

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.45
	1.55	2.54
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	2.48 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monmouth Hawks
62%

Stony Brook Seawolves
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monmouth Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Stony Brook Seawolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monmouth Hawks than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monmouth Hawks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stony Brook Seawolves than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stony Brook Seawolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monmouth won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stony Brook may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monmouth has had a series of away games.

Recently, Stony Brook has had a series of home games.

Monmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monmouth won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 499:454. (average 71.3:64.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Monmouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 218:184. (average 72.7:61.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Stony Brook Seawolves - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.5%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monmouth Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Charleston Cougars - Monmouth Hawks	74:63 ✺
19.02.26	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - Monmouth Hawks	79:69 ✺
15.02.26	Monmouth Hawks - Towson Tigers	72:71 ✺
12.02.26	Drexel Dragons - Monmouth Hawks	73:93 ✺
05.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW
- Stony Brook Seawolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Hampton Pirates	79:72 ✺
16.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Drexel Dragons	72:69 ✺
12.02.26	Towson Tigers - Stony Brook Seawolves	69:57 ✺
07.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Northeastern Huskies	69:55 ✺
05.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
05.02.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	75:76
13.02.25	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	69:79
02.01.25	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	78:56
17.02.24	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	84:61
25.01.24	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	72:65
08.02.23	Stony Brook Seawolves - Monmouth Hawks	54:61
05.01.23	Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves	56:67

Monmouth Hawks - Stony Brook Seawolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide