Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Napoli Basket		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.47	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.53	2.62
	1.5	2.65
	1.5	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	2.62 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
63.6%

Fortitudo Bologna
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fortitudo Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Napoli Basket - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Napoli Basket will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Fortitudo Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli Basket: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Preview

Postponed due to Covid-19.

Napoli Basket is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortitudo Bologna is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napoli Basket will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Napoli Basket to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.01.22	Venezia - Napoli Basket	79:75 ✺
19.12.21	Napoli Basket - Basket Trento	72:81 ✺
12.12.21	Varese - Napoli Basket	89:98 OT (83:83) ✺
05.12.21	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:88 ✺
21.11.21	Dinamo Sassari - Napoli Basket	74:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.01.22	Fortitudo Bologna - Dinamo Sassari	84:103 ✺
09.01.22	Fortitudo Bologna - Varese	101:94 ✺
19.12.21	Virtus Bologna - Fortitudo Bologna	76:70 ✺
13.12.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Trieste	96:60 ✺
05.12.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Fortitudo Bologna	74:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL

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