Match Info

Lega A - Round 14

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Napoli Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2.03
	1.75	2.1
	1.79	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
54.1%

Napoli Basket
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Varese - Napoli Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Napoli Basket will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 177, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varese will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Alviti D.	1. Flagg S.
8. Nkamhoua O.	25. Simms A.
15. Renfro N.	30. Caruso G.
4. Moore T.	45. Bolton R.
11. Iroegbu I.	3. Mitrou-Long N.
Substitutes
99. Alabiso R.	8. Croswell E.
55. Freeman A.	5. El Amin I.
34. Ladurner M.	10. Faggian L.
13. Librizzi M.	22. Gentile S.
7. N'Guessan E.	14. Gloria M.
1. Stewart C.	11. Saccoccia S.
5. Villa M.	18. Treier K.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Magro A.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Varese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varese won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 773:693. (average 96.6:86.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 397:342. (average 99.3:85.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.12.25	Trapani - Varese	88:95 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69 ✺
14.12.25	Basket Brescia - Varese	102:94 ✺
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87 ✺
23.11.25	Varese - Udine	59:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL
- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.12.25	Napoli Basket - Cantù	98:86 ✺
21.12.25	Venezia - Napoli Basket	106:96 ✺
14.12.25	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	102:76 ✺
07.12.25	Udine - Napoli Basket	78:71 ✺
23.11.25	Napoli Basket - Dinamo Sassari	86:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
12.04.25	Napoli Basket - Varese	87:97
28.12.24	Varese - Napoli Basket	89:86
07.04.24	Varese - Napoli Basket	113:79
11.11.23	Napoli Basket - Varese	97:96
05.03.23	Napoli Basket - Varese	93:101
15.01.23	Varese - Napoli Basket	106:79
14.03.22	Napoli Basket - Varese	74:82

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