Match Info
WNBADate: 29 May 2026, FridayLocation: Barclays Center (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
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New York Liberty |
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Phoenix Mercury |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New York Liberty
65.6% | Phoenix Mercury
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Liberty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-0.3%)New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5, OT - Phoenix (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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18.  Astier P.
| 1. Brochant N.
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13.  Fiebich L.
| 2.  Copper K.
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23. Johannes M.
| 4.  Mack N.
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35.  Jones J.
| 8.  Makani M.
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30. Stewart B.
| 25. Thomas A.
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| Coaches |
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. DeMarco C.
| . Tibbetts N.
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Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York won 2.New York has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Phoenix is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, New York has had a series of home games. In this match, New York is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New York won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1605:1633. (average 80.3:81.7).Including home matches between the teams, New York won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 815:824. (average 81.5:82.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 27.05.26 | New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury | 84:74 | | 19.09.25 | Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty | 79:73 | | 17.09.25 | New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury | 60:86 | | 14.09.25 | Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty | 69:76 OT | | 30.08.25 | Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty | 80:63 | | 25.07.25 | New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury | 89:76 | | 27.06.25 | Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty | 106:91 |
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