Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	North Carolina Tar Heels		Notre Dame Fighting Irish

	1	2
	1.11	7.25
	1.08	6.75
	1.09	6.21	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.07	7.5
	1.08	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.16)	7.29 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina Tar Heels
87%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina Tar Heels's performance.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notre Dame Fighting Irish might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 150.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:67

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 5.

In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Notre Dame is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Notre Dame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, North Carolina is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1537:1349. (average 76.9:67.5).

Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1024:824. (average 78.8:63.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	California Golden Bears - North Carolina Tar Heels	84:78 ✺
14.01.26	Stanford Cardinal - North Carolina Tar Heels	95:90 ✺
10.01.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Wake Forest Demon Deacons	87:84 ✺
03.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - North Carolina Tar Heels	97:83 ✺
30.12.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Florida State Seminoles	79:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Virginia Tech Hokies - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	89:76 ✺
13.01.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Miami FL Hurricanes	69:81 ✺
10.01.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Clemson Tigers	61:76 ✺
02.01.26	California Golden Bears - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	72:71 ✺
30.12.25	Stanford Cardinal - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	40:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.03.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	76:56
04.01.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - North Carolina Tar Heels	73:74
05.03.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	84:51
22.02.23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - North Carolina Tar Heels	59:63
07.01.23	North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	81:64
05.01.22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - North Carolina Tar Heels	78:73
10.03.21	North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	101:59

North Carolina Tar Heels - Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide