Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	North Carolina Tar Heels		Virginia Commonwealth Rams

	1	2
	1.62	2.15
	1.7	2.2
	1.65	2.12
	1.75	2.19
	1.72	2.02	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	2.14 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina Tar Heels
56%

Virginia Commonwealth Rams
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Virginia Commonwealth Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Commonwealth Rams than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Commonwealth Rams Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75

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Preview

North Carolina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

VCU is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

VCU may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that VCU will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.03.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Clemson Tigers	79:80 ✺
07.03.26	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	76:61 ✺
03.03.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Clemson Tigers	67:63 ✺
28.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Tech Hokies	89:82 ✺
23.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Louisville Cardinals	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW
- Virginia Commonwealth Rams basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.03.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	70:62 ✺
14.03.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Saint Josephs Hawks	77:64 ✺
13.03.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Duquesne Dukes	71:66 ✺
06.03.26	Dayton Flyers - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	62:68 ✺
03.03.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - George Mason Patriots	70:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Commonwealth Rams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide