Match Info

Euroleague - Round 23

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Calic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Žalgiris Kaunas

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.41	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.3	1.66	Watch
	2.35	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.16)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
41.5%

Žalgiris Kaunas
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ASVEL Basket will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	8. Brazdeikis I.
7. Heurtel T.	51. Butkevicius A.
23. Lighty D.	3. Francisco S.
24. Ndiaye M.	10. Tubelis A.
32. Vautier B.	7. Wright M.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	15. Birutis L.
0. Eboua P.	9. Giedraitis D.
3. Harrison S.	12. Lo M.
11. Jackson E.	17. Rubstavicius M.
10. Massa B.	91. Sirvydis D.
1. Seljaas Z.	14. Sleva D.
94. Traore A.	92. Ulanovas E.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Masiulis T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, ASVEL has had a series of home games.

Žalgiris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 991:1053. (average 76.2:81).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 493:489. (average 82.2:81.5).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.81% Lyon-Villeurbanne: 0.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
8	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	2	2	340:333
13	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	353:377

Last Results with these Odds

ASVEL Basket - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
18.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Le Portel	104:58 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Hapoel Tel Aviv	73:81 ✺
French LNB
13.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Boulazac	94:77 ✺
11.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Paris	93:98 OT ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	78:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL
- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
17.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Jonava	89:63 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Žalgiris Kaunas	100:97 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.26	Šiauliai - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:75 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	99:67 ✺
06.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	83:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	96:59
27.03.25	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	88:79
20.12.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	72:78
04.01.24	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	93:79
02.11.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	88:91
09.03.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	85:67
10.11.22	ASVEL Basket - Žalgiris Kaunas	76:93

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