Match Info

Euroleague - Round 23

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Tsaroucha V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Olimpia Milano

	1	2
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.3	Watch
	1.29	3.93	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.29	3.83	Watch
	1.23	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	4.04 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
76.5%

Olimpia Milano
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Olimpia Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Hezonja M.	31. Shields S.
8. Okeke C.	16. LeDay Z.
22. Tavares E.	6. Booker D.
6. Abalde A.	3. Ellis Q.
7. Campazzo F.	12. Brooks A.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	2. Brown L.
24. Feliz A.	42. Dunston B.
16. Garuba U.	21. Flaccadori D.
1. Kramer D.	23. Guduric M.
25. Len A.	1. Mannion N.
0. Lyles T.	32. Nebo J.
12. Maledon T.	17. Ricci G.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Poeta G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 2.

Real Madrid has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Olimpia Milano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1704:1629. (average 85.2:81.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 806:750. (average 89.6:83.3).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
14	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350
20	Olimpia Milano	4	1	3	318:360

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 74.16%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	80:61 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.01.26	BC Andorra - Real Madrid	85:90 ✺
Euroleague
08.01.26	Real Madrid - Maccabi Tel Aviv	98:86 ✺
06.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Real Madrid	69:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Olimpia Milano
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	78:87 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Crvena Zvezda	96:104 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.01.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:77 ✺
Euroleague
09.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	87:74 ✺
06.01.26	Panathinaikos - Olimpia Milano	74:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
16.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	89:82
25.03.25	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	96:89
07.11.24	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	85:76
08.02.24	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	81:76
19.10.23	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	88:71
16.03.23	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	91:87
03.11.22	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	77:83

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