Match Info

Euroleague - Round 28

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Bissuel T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Partizan Belgrade		Real Madrid

	1	2
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.19	1.37
	3.22	1.39	Watch
	3	1.33
	3.26	1.37	Watch
	3.35	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.87)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan Belgrade
29.3%

Real Madrid
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Partizan (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Lakic A.	11. Hezonja M.
17. Bonga I.	8. Okeke C.
24. Fernando B.	22. Tavares E.
12. Brown S.	6. Abalde A.
33. Calathes N.	7. Campazzo F.
Substitutes
8. Bosnjakovic M.	14. Deck G.
23. Jekiri T.	24. Feliz A.
10. Mijailovic U.	16. Garuba U.
11. Pokusevski A.	25. Len A.
13. Radanov A.	23. Llull S.
4. Washington D.	0. Lyles T.
	12. Maledon T.
Coaches
. Penarroya J.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Partizan will win today's game, with odds of 3.08.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1170:1243. (average 83.6:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 491:516. (average 81.8:86).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Partizan Belgrade - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.72%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Real Madrid - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 66.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Adriatic League
09.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Dubai	86:76 ✺
Euroleague
05.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Panathinaikos	78:62 ✺
03.02.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Partizan Belgrade	95:93 ✺
Adriatic League
31.01.26	Partizan Belgrade - U BT Cluj-Napoca	90:79 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Olimpia Milano - Partizan Belgrade	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
08.02.26	Real Madrid - Granada	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
05.02.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	93:85 ✺
03.02.26	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	82:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Real Madrid - Basket Zaragoza	99:78 ✺
Euroleague
27.01.26	Paris - Real Madrid	98:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.10.25	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86
10.04.25	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	89:91
10.10.24	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86
21.03.24	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	76:88
21.12.23	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	91:75
10.05.23	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	98:94
04.05.23	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	78:85

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