Match Info

Euroleague - Round 26

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Telekom Center Athens (Athens)

Referee: Zamojski J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Panathinaikos		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.9	1.94
	1.89	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.83	2.04	Watch
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)	1.97 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
51.6%

Real Madrid
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panathinaikos's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panathinaikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Panathinaikos - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 74.5% – 98.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Panathinaikos (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1, 3Q - Panathinaikos (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 1Q - Panathinaikos (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 9 - 31%). Real Madrid (votes: 20 - 69%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Faried K.	6. Abalde A.
22. Grant J.	7. Campazzo F.
41. Hernangomez J.	11. Hezonja M.
6. Osman C.	8. Okeke C.
0. Shorts T.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
8. Holmes R.	24. Feliz A.
5. Kalaitzakis P.	16. Garuba U.
44. Mitoglou K.	1. Kramer D.
17. Rogkavopoulos N.	25. Len A.
20. Samodurov A.	23. Llull S.
10. Sloukas K.	0. Lyles T.
27. Toliopoulos V.	9. Procida G.
Coaches
. Ataman E.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 4.

Panathinaikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Madrid is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1568:1671. (average 78.4:83.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 641:664. (average 80.1:83).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Panathinaikos: 21.78% Real Madrid: 8.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	375:292
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos BC
Greek Basket League A1
01.02.26	Aris - Panathinaikos	102:95 OT ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	ASVEL Basket - Panathinaikos	78:79 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.01.26	Panathinaikos - Maroussi Athens	92:81 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panathinaikos	75:71 ✺
20.01.26	Panathinaikos - Baskonia	93:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Real Madrid - Basket Zaragoza	99:78 ✺
Euroleague
27.01.26	Paris - Real Madrid	98:92 ✺
Spanish ACB League
24.01.26	CB Breogán - Real Madrid	85:103 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	90:78 ✺
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	106:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
13.11.25	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	77:87
06.03.25	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	85:70
17.10.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	90:86
26.05.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	80:95
29.02.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	86:97
07.12.23	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	78:90
01.02.23	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	83:68

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