The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perth Wildcats 70.5%
New Zealand Breakers 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Wildcats's performance.
New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Breakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Wildcats than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Wildcats that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Breakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perth Wildcats - New Zealand Breakers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:89
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Brandt A.
8. Bediako C.
2. Dell'Orso A.
9. King M.
5. Doolittle K.
2. Le'Afa I.
40. Pepper E.
3. Mennenga S.
3. Windler D.
34. Vasiljevic D.
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 5.
Perth is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by NZ Breakers have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Perth could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Perth has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Perth holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Perth has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1907:1790 (averaging 95.4:89.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Perth against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1056:975 goals (averaging 96:88.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
3
Perth
8
5
3
741:765
0.625
9
New Zealand Breakers
10
4
6
922:906
0.400
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
New Zealand Breakers: 4.42%
Last Results with these Odds
Perth Wildcats - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.16%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
New Zealand Breakers - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Australia
Watch
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Brandt A. 
Bediako C. 
King M. 
Doolittle K. 
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