Match Info

WNBA

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Mix
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Usa	CBS


	Phoenix Mercury		Dallas Wings

	1	2
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.80	1.45	Watch
	2.85	1.4
	2.94	1.44
	2.73	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.4
	2.95	1.42
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Mercury
33.4%

Dallas Wings
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Dallas Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Wings than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brochant N.	20. Siegrist M.
4. Mack N.	32. Shepard J.
25. Thomas A.	34. Kuier A.
10. Held A.	24. Ogunbowale A.
2. Copper K.	5. Bueckers P.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.	. Fernandez J.

Preview

Dallas is Qualified for WNBA (Play Offs ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 1.

In recent outings, Phoenix has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Dallas is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Recently, Dallas has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Dallas is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dallas in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Phoenix has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1678:1719 (averaging 83.9:86 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Phoenix against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 833:827 goals (averaging 83.3:82.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
19.09.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	87:82 ✺
17.09.26	Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury	91:94 ✺
29.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Toronto Tempo	101:69 ✺
27.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics	73:80 ✺
25.08.26	Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics	84:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Dallas Wings
WNBA
19.09.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	87:82 ✺
17.09.26	Dallas Wings - Los Angeles Sparks	97:77 ✺
30.08.26	Dallas Wings - Connecticut Sun	97:71 ✺
25.08.26	Dallas Wings - Portland Fire	96:78 ✺
23.08.26	Dallas Wings - Seattle Storm	92:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
19.09.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	87:82
11.06.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	85:70
11.09.25	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	97:76
07.07.25	Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings	102:72
03.07.25	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	98:89
11.06.25	Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings	93:80
10.07.24	Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings	100:84

Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide