Match Info

WNBA

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD


	Phoenix Mercury		Golden State Valkyries

	1	2
	2.25	1.60	Watch
	2.30	1.65
	2.32	1.62
	2.42	1.61
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.59	Watch
	2.39	1.60
	2.30	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.67)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Phoenix Mercury
40.8%

Golden State Valkyries
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Mercury's performance.

Golden State Valkyries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Golden State Valkyries might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 154.5, OT - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 155.5, OT - under (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bonner D.	22. Burton V.
1. Brochant N.	6. Charles K.
2. Copper K.	41. Stokes K.
8. Makani M.	5. Thornton K.
25. Thomas A.	24. Zandalasini C.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.	. Nakase N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.

Phoenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Golden State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Golden State might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 582:583. (average 83.1:83.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 246:233. (average 82:77.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Phoenix Mercury - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
22.07.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	82:86 ✺
19.07.26	Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun	72:63 ✺
17.07.26	Phoenix Mercury - Connecticut Sun	83:96 ✺
13.07.26	Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury	104:100 ✺
11.07.26	Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury	106:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Golden State Valkyries
WNBA
20.07.26	Golden State Valkyries - Washington Mystics	82:90 ✺
18.07.26	Golden State Valkyries - Washington Mystics	74:69 ✺
15.07.26	Indiana Fever - Golden State Valkyries	75:88 ✺
10.07.26	Connecticut Sun - Golden State Valkyries	64:79 ✺
08.07.26	Toronto Tempo - Golden State Valkyries	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
09.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	87:81
10.05.26	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	95:79
22.08.25	Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries	81:72
19.08.25	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	91:98
14.07.25	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	77:78
05.06.25	Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries	86:77
11.05.25	Phoenix Mercury - Golden State Valkyries	79:84

Upcoming Matches