Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
World	Court Side 1891


	Poland		Bosnia and Herzegovina

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.6
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.54	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
62.9%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bosnia and Herzegovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bosnia and Herzegovina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	0%	36.7%

Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). Bosnia will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Bosnia (votes: 6 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 153.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -10, OT - Bosnia (6.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 158.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5 - Bosnia (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 12 - 60%). Bosnia (votes: 8 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja	3. Alibegovic A. Trapani
15. Laczynski K. Anwil Wloclawek	5. Atic E. Rio Breogan
8. Loyd J. AS Monaco	17. Lazic A. Spartak Subotica
9. Ponitka M. (C) Bahcesehir Koleji	0. Nurkic J. Charlotte Hornets
3. Sokolowski M. Sassari	2. Roberson J. Esenler Erokspor
Substitutes
11. Dziewa A. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	4. Arslanagic A. KK Bosna
12. Gielo T. Bilbao	9. Gegic A. Zadar
23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek	7. Halilovic M. (C) Sassari
17. Olejniczak D. Saint Quentin	23. Hrelja T. Igokea
0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa	34. Kamenjas K. Buducnost
10. Zapala S.	11. Penava A. Slask Wroclaw
28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	27. Vrabac A. KK Bosna
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Bekir A.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 229:212. (average 76.3:70.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland basketball
EuroBasket
04.09.25	Poland - Belgium	69:70 ✺
02.09.25	France - Poland	83:76 ✺
31.08.25	Poland - Iceland	84:75 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Slovenia - Poland	95:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- Bosnia and Herzegovina basketball
EuroBasket
04.09.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Georgia	84:76 ✺
02.09.25	Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina	77:80 ✺
31.08.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy	79:96 ✺
30.08.25	Spain - Bosnia and Herzegovina	88:67 ✺
28.08.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cyprus	91:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
20.08.23	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Poland	72:76
14.08.23	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Poland	76:85
EuroBasket
05.09.15	Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina	68:64

Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide