Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	DAZN, SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Turkey		Poland

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.19	5	Watch
	1.18	5.07
	1.27	3.50	Watch
	1.18	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.12)	4.72 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkey
79.7%

Poland
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turkey's form might have worsened.

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	2.8%	63.9%

Turkey - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Turkey will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Poland will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Poland (votes: 14 - 73.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Poland (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 154.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Turkey (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 165, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Poland (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Poland (votes: 16 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Hazer S. Bahcesehir Koleji	2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja
0. Larkin S. Anadolu Efes	15. Laczynski K. Anwil Wloclawek
6. Osman C. (C) Panathinaikos	8. Loyd J. AS Monaco
24. Osmani E. Anadolu Efes	9. Ponitka M. (C) Bahcesehir Koleji
23. Sengun A. Houston Rockets	3. Sokolowski M. Sassari
Substitutes
10. Bitim O. Fenerbahce	11. Dziewa A. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
30. Bona Adem Philadelphia 76ers	12. Gielo T. Bilbao
22. Korkmaz F. Bahcesehir Koleji	23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek
5. Sanli S. Fenerbahce	17. Olejniczak D. Saint Quentin
55. Sipahi K. Bahcesehir Koleji	0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa
33. Yilmaz E. Anadolu Efes	10. Zapala S.
77. Yurtseven O. F. Panathinaikos	28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Coaches
. Ataman E.	. Milicic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 3.

Turkey has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Poland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Turkey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Turkey is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 519:471. (average 86.5:78.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Turkey basketball
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Turkey - Sweden	85:79 ✺
03.09.25	Turkey - Serbia	95:90 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
30.08.25	Turkey - Portugal	95:54 ✺
29.08.25	Turkey - Czech Republic	92:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Poland basketball
EuroBasket
07.09.25	Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina	80:72 ✺
04.09.25	Poland - Belgium	69:70 ✺
02.09.25	France - Poland	83:76 ✺
31.08.25	Poland - Iceland	84:75 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
09.08.23	Turkey - Poland	98:73
08.08.23	Turkey - Poland	87:84
18.08.22	Turkey - Poland	86:87
14.08.22	Turkey - Poland	94:78
DBB Supercup
21.08.15	Turkey - Poland	73:81
Friendly International Basketball
30.08.13	Turkey - Poland	81:68

Turkey - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide