Match Info

EUROPE: Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla) 🌤️ ...


	Rapla		Tartu Rock

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.28	1.55
	2.31	1.56
	2.11	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.19	1.63
	2.28	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.62)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapla
42%

Tartu Rock
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapla's performance.

Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tartu Rock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapla than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Rock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rapla - Tartu Rock Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rapla will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapla: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Eelmae H. (C)	1. Harris J.
7. Krumins E.	4. Henry J.
1. McCreary J.	20. Nurger R.
0. Mckissic B.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
19. Niits T.	6. Veideman R.
Substitutes
3. Jakk R.	22. El Sheikh O.
32. Kilk K.	2. Heinakroon M.
4. Laane R.	11. Jurtsenko K. G.
8. Ruubel M.	50. Pere O.
33. Ruut M.	18. Roos R.
16. Stankovic L.	27. Suurorg K.
	8. Urvik E.
Coaches
. Nomm B.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rapla won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tartu Rock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rapla have a series of guest games.

Tartu Rock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rapla won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1558:1474 (average 77.9:73.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rapla won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 815:716 (average 81.5:71.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapla KK
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.01.25	Rapla - Viimsi	82:64 ✺
15.01.25	Liepāja - Rapla	81:99 ✺
14.01.25	BK Ventspils - Rapla	90:76 ✺
28.12.24	Tallinna Kalev - Rapla	82:77 ✺
18.12.24	Ogre - Rapla	71:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.01.25	Tartu Rock - VEF Riga	67:93 ✺
ENBL
21.01.25	Donar Groningen - Tartu Rock	70:89 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
17.01.25	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Rock	79:84 ✺
14.01.25	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	87:90 ✺
11.01.25	Tartu Rock - TalTech	76:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
13.11.24	Tartu Rock - Rapla	90:84 OT
28.02.24	Rapla - Tartu Rock	79:78
09.12.23	Tartu Rock - Rapla	71:61
04.02.23	Rapla - Tartu Rock	71:78
13.12.22	Tartu Rock - Rapla	73:51
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
21.04.22	Rapla - Tartu Rock	77:76
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.02.22	Rapla - Tartu Rock	78:83

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