The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid 21.5%
CSKA Moscow 78.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-43.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.
CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+43.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+40%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-40%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Real Madrid - CSKA Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
100 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 25 - 25%). CSKA will win (votes: 75 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 66.5% โ 83.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:84
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Preview
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Real Madrid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently CSKA have a series of guest games.
In this match CSKA is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1576-1610.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 787-771.
Watch
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