Match Info

Euroleague - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Porobic D. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	Sport TV3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Sport, Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.18	Watch
	1.75	2.25
	2.40	1.53	Watch
	1.7	2.23	Watch
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
52.9%

Olympiacos Piraeus
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Real Madrid - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 171.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Olympiacos (1.98) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 3 - 50%). Olympiacos (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	94. Fournier E.
11. Hezonja M.	14. Vezenkov A.
22. Tavares E.	33. Milutinov N.
24. Feliz A.	22. Dorsey T.
0. Lyles T.	0. Walkup T.
Substitutes
7. Campazzo F.	37. Antetokounmpo K.
14. Deck G.	45. Hall D.
20. Fernando B.	9. Lee S.
16. Garuba U.	21. Netzipoglou O.
1. Kramer D.	16. Papanikolaou K.
23. Llull S.	25. Peters A.
8. Okeke C.	3. Ward T.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Bartzokas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 1.

Olympiacos is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Real Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Olympiacos will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1592:1575. (average 79.6:78.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 927:869. (average 84.3:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
30.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid	74:68 ✺
Spanish Supercopa ACB
28.09.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:98 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid - Canarias	72:71 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Real Madrid - ALBA Berlin	90:65 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.06.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	70:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Olympiacos Piraeus BC
Euroleague
30.09.25	Baskonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	96:102 ✺
Greek Super Cup Basketball
27.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Promitheas Patras	92:83 ✺
26.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Karditsas	89:56 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	Crvena Zvezda - Olympiacos Piraeus	83:86 ✺
19.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Olimpia Milano	76:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
01.05.25	Real Madrid - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:86
29.04.25	Real Madrid - Olympiacos Piraeus	80:72
25.04.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	77:71
23.04.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	84:72
16.01.25	Real Madrid - Olympiacos Piraeus	86:96
29.10.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	79:69
24.05.24	Real Madrid - Olympiacos Piraeus	87:76

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