Match Info

CBA

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Leopards		Guangzhou Long-Lions

	1	2
	1.22	3.9	Watch
	1.2	4.1
	1.24	4.06
	1.19	4.43	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.23	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	4.07 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Leopards
77%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Leopards's performance.

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Long-Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Leopards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Long-Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5, OT - Shenzhen (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 96.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:87

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Lineups


3. He Xining	6. Burton D.
24. Johnson A.	23. Guohao C.
20. Johnson M.	8. Holiday J.
27. Kaba A.	12. Li Xiangbo
21. Li Muhao	7. Weiyun S.
2. Lu Pengyu	21. Wenjie Zhang
8. Rong Zifeng	28. Wigginton L.
77. Smith T.	19. Xin Dayi X.
5. Sun Haoqin	2. Xingliang Z.
33. Wang Haoran	11. Yancheng L.
11. Xirui F.	3. Zhang Huafei
9. Zhou Peng	5. Zhaoyao Y.
Coaches
. Kelly M.	. Mitchell N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Guangzhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shenzhen is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2099:2123. (average 105:106.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1029:1087. (average 102.9:108.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Leopards
CBA
13.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	97:101 ✺
11.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Liaoning Dinosaurs	88:96 ✺
03.02.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Shenzhen Leopards	126:123 OT ✺
01.02.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Shenzhen Leopards	71:90 ✺
30.01.26	Shanghai Sharks - Shenzhen Leopards	101:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
14.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Beijing Ducks	85:98 ✺
12.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	83:84 ✺
05.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	93:85 ✺
03.02.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Guangzhou Long-Lions	88:81 ✺
31.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
08.03.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	86:104
29.10.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	101:108
24.03.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	89:101
05.02.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	109:96
03.12.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	108:115
04.11.23	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	105:108
16.01.23	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	89:114

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