Match Info
NCAADate: 19 February 2026, Thursday
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South Alabama Jaguars |
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Texas State Bobcats |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.51 |
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2.45 |
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 |
1.47 |
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2.45 |
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 |
1.55 |
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2.54 |
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 |
1.57 |
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2.28 |
 Watch |
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1.5 |
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2.5 |
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1.55 |
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2.47 |
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1.55 |
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2.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.6) |
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2.46 ↑
(2.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 136.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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South Alabama Jaguars
61.6% | Texas State Bobcats
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Alabama Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Texas State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+1.8%)South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:66 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 2.Recent performances by South Alabama have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Texas State is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).South Alabama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, South Alabama has had a series of away games.Recently, Texas State has had a series of home games. South Alabama could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Texas State will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Alabama won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1325:1376. (average 66.3:68.8).Including home matches between the teams, South Alabama won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 632:617. (average 63.2:61.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 20.12.25 | Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars | 67:65 | | 22.02.25 | Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars | 93:92 OT | | 15.02.25 | South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats | 70:65 OT | | 15.02.24 | South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats | 72:55 | | 01.02.24 | Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars | 74:66 | | 22.02.23 | Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars | 67:76 | | 07.01.23 | South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats | 58:64 |
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