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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 37.6%
Draw 23.4%
Portland Timbers 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
23.5%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
23.1%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Portland will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 0.
Kansas City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Portland is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kansas City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Kansas City: Blorian O.
(Chest Injury).
Confirmed absences for Portland: Bonetig A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Bye B.
(Leg Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Foot Injury)
Surman F.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kansas City: Capita
(Hamstring Injury)
Davis J.
(Injury)
Diego Borges
(Groin Injury)
Johnsen L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mosquera M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wolff O.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Portland: Caicedo J.
(Thigh Injury)
Fernandez O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kansas City has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:40 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kansas City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 22:16 goals (averaging 2.4:1.8 per game).
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