The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 38.8%
Draw 24.5%
St. Louis City 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
24.9%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
25.1%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Portland Timbers - St. Louis City Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 2 - 50%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 15. Miller E. 20. Surman F. (C) 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 80. Ortiz J. 10. Da Costa D. 7. Lassiter A. 14. Janssen V. 99. Velde K.
1. Burki R. (C) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 20. Rafael Santos 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 77. Jeong S. 23. Matan A. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
11. Antony 6. Bonetig A. 21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 88. Guerra G. 12. Hernandez R. 23. Smith I. 26. Sulte H. (G) 2. Waterman J.
11. Becher S. 42. Downs D. 27. Fall F. 19. Holse C. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 7. Ostrak T. 28. Perez M.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.
Damet Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽,
18', Da Costa D. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
31', Polvara D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Velde K. ⚽,
36', Orozco J. 🟨,
45+2', Totland T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Orozco J. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Rafael Navarro ⚽,
58', Miller E. 🟨,
65', Polvara D. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
65', Jeong S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
65', Miller E. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
65', Lassiter A. ↓, Antony ↑,
67', Rafael Navarro 🟨,
80', Rafael Santos ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
80', Matan A. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
81', Miller K. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
81', Ortiz J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Velde K. ⚽, Bassett C. (A),
89', Rafael Navarro ↓, Downs D. ↑,
90', Janssen V. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
In recent matches, Portland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
St. Louis City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Portland: Aravena A.
(Hip Injury)
Bye B.
(Leg Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury)
Wallem C.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Portland: Muse T.
(Wrist Injury)
There are questionable in St. Louis City: Ault P.
(Ankle Injury)
Orozco J.
(Illness)
Ostrak T.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
Outrights of MLS for now
St. Louis City: 3.85% Portland Timbers: 0.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Portland Timbers - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
St. Louis City - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Pantemis J. (G) 
Miller E. 
Surman F. (C) 
Fory J. 
Ortiz J. 
Da Costa D. 
Lassiter A. 
Janssen V. 
Velde K. 
Burki R. (C) 
Baumgartl T. 
Rafael Santos 
Jeong S. 
Matan A. 
Bonetig A. 
Hernandez R. 
Fall F. 
Holse C. 
Ostrak T. 
Cifuentes M. 
Damet Y. 
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