Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Referee: Langowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
	2.12	1.65
	2.15	1.58	Watch
	2.24	1.65
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.25	1.61
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
43%

Legia Warsaw
57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Start Lublin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Legia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Start Lublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Start Lublin - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Legia (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Start Lublin will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start Lublin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Lublin (votes: 9 - 75%). Legia (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ford Q.	0. Graves J.
33. Frankamp C.	40. Hunter S.
25. Griffin B.	3. Pluta A. (C)
2. O'Reilly L.	42. Ponsar C.
1. Tokoto J.P.	32. Wilczek M.
Substitutes
0. Krasuski M.	7. Brewton D.
7. Pelczar B.	1. Czapla B.
21. Put F. (C)	2. Niedzialkowski D.
19. Szymanski R.	25. Thompson R.
5. Turewicz M.	5. Tomaszewski W.
6. Wright J.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Rannula H.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1640:1744. (average 82:87.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 924:1004. (average 84:91.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Legia	2	1	1	166:180	3
13	Lublin	1	0	1	79:84	1

Last Results with these Odds

Legia Warsaw - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.99%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
18.01.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Start Lublin	81:75 ✺
10.01.26	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	81:78 ✺
06.01.26	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	83:74 ✺
03.01.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Start Lublin	75:87 ✺
27.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	95:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWL
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
18.01.26	MOSiR Krosno - Legia Warsaw	87:94 ✺
11.01.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	83:81 ✺
03.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	84:63 ✺
28.12.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Legia Warsaw	106:73 ✺
23.12.25	Legia Warsaw - MOSiR Krosno	82:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
03.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Start Lublin	90:68
22.06.25	Start Lublin - Legia Warsaw	82:92
20.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Start Lublin	87:83
18.06.25	Start Lublin - Legia Warsaw	97:82
16.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Start Lublin	71:77
14.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Start Lublin	90:86
11.06.25	Start Lublin - Legia Warsaw	78:84

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