Match Info
NBL1 East - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 1 August 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Nbl+ |
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Sutherland Sharks |
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Maitland Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.65 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.48 |
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2.30 |
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 |
1.50 |
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2.45 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.32 |
Watch |
 |
1.48 |
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2.40 |
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 |
1.49 |
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2.45 |
Watch |
 |
1.49 |
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2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.64) |
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2.34 ↑
(2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 164.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sutherland Sharks
60.6% | Maitland Mustangs
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutherland Sharks's performance.Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maitland Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maitland Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland won 3.Sutherland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Maitland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Maitland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Sutherland might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sutherland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 735:801. (average 81.7:89).Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 326:310. (average 81.5:77.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 East | | | 11.04.26 | Sutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs | 93:79 | | 14.06.25 | Sutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs | 87:75 | | 06.07.24 | Maitland Mustangs - Sutherland Sharks | 120:74 | | 20.04.24 | Sutherland Sharks - Maitland Mustangs | 82:85 | | 12.08.23 | Maitland Mustangs - Sutherland Sharks | 80:83 | | 01.07.23 | Maitland Mustangs - Sutherland Sharks | 110:79 | | 27.08.22 | Maitland Mustangs - Sutherland Sharks | 104:82 |
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