Match Info

NBL - Round 1

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Qudos Bank Arena (Sydney)


	Sydney Kings		Cairns Taipans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.50
	1.27	3.80
	1.25	4.03
	1.26	3.68	Watch
	1.23	4.00
	1.29	3.76	Watch
	1.25	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Kings
75.2%

Cairns Taipans
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Carr A.	3. Brown J.
10. Cooks X.	33. Lewis M.
2. Craig T.	9. McVeigh J.
1. Davis K.	25. Pinder K.
8. Dellavedova M.	2. Smith R.
Substitutes
4. Johnston W.	43. Bolden J.
13. Machar P.	22. Brown W.
15. Maluach M.	7. Bruce S.
3. Robertson T.	44. Dech S.
14. Spurgin J.	14. Galloway K.
7. Stone J.	1. McVeigh L.
9. Wessels H.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.

In this matchup, Sydney is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sydney has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1824:1660 (averaging 91.2:83 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sydney against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1029:905 goals (averaging 93.5:82.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Sydney	7	5	2	714:617	0.714
6	Cairns Taipans	8	4	4	724:780	0.500

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Cairns Taipans: 3.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Cairns Taipans - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.23%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Kings
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Sydney Kings	98:98
Australian NBL
05.04.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	113:101 OT ✺
01.04.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	92:91 ✺
28.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:93 ✺
27.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLWL
- Cairns Taipans
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	Brisbane Bullets - Cairns Taipans	98:129
05.09.26	Adelaide 36ers - Cairns Taipans	112:86
Australian NBL
19.02.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	115:84 ✺
12.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	85:89 ✺
08.02.26	Brisbane Bullets - Cairns Taipans	72:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
01.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Sydney Kings	92:106
21.12.25	Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans	119:77
28.09.25	Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans	74:77
12.01.25	Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans	91:87
29.11.24	Cairns Taipans - Sydney Kings	75:81
12.10.24	Sydney Kings - Cairns Taipans	99:73
Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.24	Cairns Taipans - Sydney Kings	77:99

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