Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday


	Cairns Taipans		New Zealand Breakers

	1	2
	1.87	1.87
	1.91	1.89
	1.89	1.8	Watch
	1.86	1.84
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.90	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 188.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cairns Taipans
49.3%

New Zealand Breakers
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cairns Taipans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:95

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taipans won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Taipans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Taipans has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1625:1812 (averaging 81.3:90.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Taipans against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 718:815 goals (averaging 79.8:90.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	New Zealand Breakers	8	4	4	737:712	0.500
6	Cairns Taipans	8	4	4	724:780	0.500

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

New Zealand Breakers: 4.11% Cairns Taipans: 3.48%

Last Results with these Odds

New Zealand Breakers - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.22%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cairns Taipans
Australian NBL
17.10.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Cairns Taipans	115:83 ✺
11.10.26	Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans	100:110 ✺
08.10.26	Cairns Taipans - Brisbane Bullets	97:91 ✺
03.10.26	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	95:107 ✺
30.09.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	98:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- New Zealand Breakers
Australian NBL
18.10.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	98:92 ✺
14.10.26	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	101:102 ✺
10.10.26	Perth Wildcats - New Zealand Breakers	100:84 ✺
04.10.26	Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers	69:88 ✺
30.09.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	98:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
30.09.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	98:75
19.02.26	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	115:84
17.01.26	Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers	86:104
19.12.25	Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers	99:95
22.11.25	Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers	96:102
Club Friendly Basketball
31.08.25	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	94:75
Australian NBL
01.02.25	New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans	99:92

Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide