Match Info
NBL - Round 17Date: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Cairns Convention Centre (Cairns)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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Cairns Taipans |
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New Zealand Breakers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.9 |
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1.37 |
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 |
2.85 |
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1.38 |
Watch |
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2.9 |
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1.36 |
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3.06 |
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1.4 |
Watch |
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2.9 |
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1.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2) |
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1.39 ↓
(1.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cairns Taipans
32.2% | New Zealand Breakers
67.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cairns Taipans's form might have worsened.New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Zealand Breakers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+18.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cairns Taipans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Zealand Breakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cairns Taipans will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cairns Taipans will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:93 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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12.  Andrews A.
| 9. Baker R.
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38.  Barker L.
| 8. Brockington I.
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14. Galloway K.
| 6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
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0.  King M.
| 1.  Lopez K.
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9. McVeigh J. (C)
| 3. Mennenga S.
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| Substitutes |
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4. Adnam K.
| 2. Bairstow S.
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24. Lee M.
| 5. Britt T.
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1. McVeigh L.
| 12. Darling M.
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10. Richardson J.
| 21. Davison C.
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5. Schofield A.
| 15. Loe R.
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6. Stattmann K.
| 7. Te Rangi R.
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| 90. Webster T.
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| Coaches |
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. Forde A.
| .  Koponen P.
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Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taipans won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. NZ Breakers might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taipans won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1616:1725. (average 80.8:86.3).Including home matches between the teams, Taipans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 795:865. (average 79.5:86.5).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 19.12.25 | Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers | 99:95 | | 22.11.25 | Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers | 96:102 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 31.08.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans | 94:75 | | Australian NBL | | | 01.02.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans | 99:92 | | 31.12.24 | Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers | 68:92 | | 16.11.24 | Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers | 69:77 | | 15.12.23 | Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers | 82:111 |
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