The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide 36ers 64.4%
New Zealand Breakers 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide 36ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide 36ers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Breakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide 36ers - New Zealand Breakers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 187.5, OT - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:90
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Cheatham Z.
8. Bediako C.
11. Cotton B.
6. Jackson-Cartwright P.
12. Jenkins J.
9. King M.
31. Rakocevic N.
3. Mennenga S.
22. Rasmussen K.
34. Vasiljevic D.
Substitutes
44. Brown Jr R.
4. Cooper T.
14. Griscti B.
0. Davison C.
0. Kenyon M.
2. Le'Afa I.
25. Rigoni J.
12. Noi K.
2. White I.
13. Rissetto A.
23. Williams D.
7. Te Rangi R.
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
NZ Breakers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Adelaide is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1765:1802 (averaging 88.3:90.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Adelaide against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 806:812 goals (averaging 89.6:90.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
4
New Zealand Breakers
8
4
4
737:712
0.500
5
Adelaide
8
4
4
710:726
0.500
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%
Last Results with these Odds
New Zealand Breakers - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.