Match Info

NBL

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)


	Taranaki Airs		Nelson Giants

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.90	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.89	1.81
	1.94	1.75
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranaki Airs
49.8%

Nelson Giants
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nelson Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nelson Giants than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Adam Z.	3. Gatling S.
42. Hill N.	67. Judd L.
3. Jones M.	77. Luukkonen E.
13. Moors J.	5. Perrott-Hunt K.
1. Stroud B.	18. Smith-Milner T. (C)
Substitutes
32. Bailey Q. (C)	1. Inwood E.
8. Cooper J.	35. Matthews J.
2. Samuel T.	11. Nickel J.
4. Tamatea J.	12. Rampton Z.
6. Tuhaka L.	43. Saylor D.
11. Tuuta R.	7. Varricchio R.
5. Vea L.
Coaches
. White J.	. Fitchett M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 3.

Taranaki Airs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nelson Giants is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Taranaki Airs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Taranaki Airs has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1752:1726. (average 87.6:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1047:953. (average 87.3:79.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
09.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Taranaki Airs	93:90 ✺
02.07.26	Hawkes Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs	74:96 ✺
27.06.26	Taranaki Airs - Otago Nuggets	77:90 ✺
20.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Taranaki Airs	91:87 ✺
18.06.26	Southland Sharks - Taranaki Airs	84:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLLW
- Nelson Giants
New Zealand NBL
13.07.26	Manawatu Jets - Nelson Giants	120:113 OT ✺
11.07.26	Southland Sharks - Nelson Giants	83:71 ✺
04.07.26	Nelson Giants - Franklin Bulls	88:85 ✺
28.06.26	Nelson Giants - Auckland Tuatara	82:88 ✺
26.06.26	Wellington Saints - Nelson Giants	111:109 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
02.05.26	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	107:91
18.06.25	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	71:82
04.04.25	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	93:108
17.07.24	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	87:74
14.07.24	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	106:90
28.04.24	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	97:116
13.07.23	Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants	108:82

Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide