Match Info

NBL - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Melbourne United		Adelaide 36ers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	3
	1.28	3.70
	1.32	3.44
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.29	3.35
	1.34	3.37	Watch
	1.30	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	3.28 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
71.2%

Adelaide 36ers
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne United's performance.

Adelaide 36ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide 36ers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Goulding C.	1. Cameron F.
. Krslovic F.	45. Cheatham Z.
. Oduro J.	11. Cotton B.
. Travers L.	31. Rakocevic N.
. Wilson T.	. Rigoni J.
Substitutes
. Anthony C.	14. Griscti B.
. Bowen K.	0. Kenyon M.
. D'Angelo C.	22. Rasmussen K.
. Hynes W.	2. White I.
. Ingles J.	. Williams D.
. Machar M.
. Shelley A.
. Waardenburg S.
Coaches
. Chance J.	. Gleeson T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.

Adelaide may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Melbourne holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1875:1744 (averaging 93.8:87.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 980:865 goals (averaging 98:86.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
5	Adelaide	8	4	4	710:726	0.500
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647:630	0.429

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79%

Last Results with these Odds

Melbourne United - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
07.03.26	Perth Wildcats - Melbourne United	95:77 ✺
05.03.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:68 ✺
19.02.26	Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix	95:91 ✺
14.02.26	Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks	91:100 ✺
12.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	85:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Adelaide 36ers
Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.26	Adelaide 36ers - Cairns Taipans	112:86
Australian NBL
05.04.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	113:101 OT ✺
01.04.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	92:91 ✺
28.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:93 ✺
27.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	91:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
07.02.26	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	76:87
12.12.25	Adelaide 36ers - Melbourne United	114:105 OT
25.10.25	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	81:80
04.01.25	Adelaide 36ers - Melbourne United	100:81
16.11.24	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	113:93
13.10.24	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	106:79
06.01.24	Adelaide 36ers - Melbourne United	100:96

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