Match Info
NBLDate: 22 July 2026, WednesdayLocation: Unison Arena (Rotorua)
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Tauranga Whai |
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Otago Nuggets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.30 |
|
3.20 |
|
 |
1.33 |
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3.00 |
|
 |
1.28 |
|
3.25 |
|
 |
1.3 |
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3.2 |
|
 |
1.27 |
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3.20 |
|
 |
1.29 |
|
3.27 |
|
 |
1.27 |
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3.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.69) |
|
3.19 ↑
(2.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tauranga Whai
71.2% | Otago Nuggets
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tauranga Whai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tauranga Whai's performance.Otago Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otago Nuggets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauranga Whai than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tauranga Whai that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago Nuggets than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tauranga Whai - Otago Nuggets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
6.  Murray T.
| 9. Bezett H.
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11. Ngatai J.
| 4. Chisholm O.
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34. Rissetto A.
| 13.  Louis A. (C)
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2.  Stoddart N.
| 10. Smiler C.
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7. Te Rangi R.
| 5.  Tuach B.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
66. Bezzant J. (C)
| 18. McKenzie Z.
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5. Hopoi C.
| 8. Miller-Jose I.
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1. Kelly J.
| 14. Oppenhuis F.
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8. Marsters X.
| 1. Thata-Paese T.
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21. Rapson F.
| 24. Tipene P.
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10. Saxon K.
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4. Thompson J.
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| Coaches |
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. Lacey M.
| . Sparrow J.
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Preview
Recent form of Whai has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Otago Nuggets is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Whai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Whai is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Whai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 266:256. (average 88.7:85.3).Including home match between the teams, Whai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 97:82.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 24.04.26 | Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai | 92:81 | | 27.06.25 | Otago Nuggets - Tauranga Whai | 82:88 | | 19.03.25 | Tauranga Whai - Otago Nuggets | 97:82 |
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