Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Tofaş		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.91	1.81	Watch
	1.98	1.87
	1.91	1.8
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	1.92	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.55)	1.85 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tofaş
49.4%

Derthona Basket Tortona
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tofaş's form might have worsened.

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tofaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Tofaş - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: Tofaş will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83

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Preview

Recent matches Tofaş is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tortona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Tofaş have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
28.10.23	Petkim Spor - Tofaş	107:100 OT ✺
22.10.23	Tofaş - Körfez	77:89 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.10.23	Igokea - Tofaş	102:104 OT ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
13.10.23	Merkezefendi - Tofaş	93:97 ✺
08.10.23	Beşiktaş - Tofaş	69:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.10.23	Dinamo Sassari - Derthona Basket Tortona	74:94 ✺
22.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	75:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - UCAM Murcia	78:74 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.10.23	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:80 ✺
08.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	69:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

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