Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	UC San Diego Tritons		UC Davis Aggies

	1	2
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	2.9
	1.38	3.14
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.23
	1.37	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC San Diego Tritons
69.2%

UC Davis Aggies
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC San Diego Tritons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC San Diego Tritons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

UC San Diego Tritons - UC Davis Aggies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 4.

Recent form of UC San Diego has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UC Davis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UC San Diego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 755:699. (average 68.6:63.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UC San Diego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 378:355. (average 63:59.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC San Diego Tritons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Hawaii Warriors - UC San Diego Tritons	72:67 ✺
05.02.26	UC San Diego Tritons - Long Beach State 49ers	77:74 ✺
31.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC San Diego Tritons	81:64 ✺
29.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	48:62 ✺
24.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Irvine Anteaters	59:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs	67:58 ✺
05.02.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	85:75 ✺
31.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Davis Aggies	72:80 ✺
29.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Davis Aggies	94:78 ✺
24.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC Riverside Highlanders	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	74:80
08.03.25	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	57:68
15.02.25	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Davis Aggies	85:60
07.03.24	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Davis Aggies	63:70
27.01.24	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	59:92
20.02.23	UC Davis Aggies - UC San Diego Tritons	76:66
16.01.23	UC San Diego Tritons - UC Davis Aggies	70:78

UC San Diego Tritons - UC Davis Aggies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide