Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	UNLV Rebels		San Diego State Aztecs

	1	2
	2.55	1.54
	2.55	1.45
	2.52	1.55
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.62	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.61)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNLV Rebels
37.1%

San Diego State Aztecs
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNLV Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNLV Rebels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego State Aztecs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 3.

Recent performances by UNLV have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Diego State is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UNLV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, UNLV has had a series of away games.

In this match, San Diego State is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1289:1436. (average 64.5:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UNLV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 656:681. (average 65.6:68.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNLV Rebels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.01.26	Utah State Aggies - UNLV Rebels	76:86 ✺
17.01.26	San Jose State Spartans - UNLV Rebels	62:76 ✺
13.01.26	UNLV Rebels - Boise State Broncos	89:85 OT ✺
09.01.26	Colorado State Rams - UNLV Rebels	70:62 ✺
06.01.26	Wyoming Cowboys - UNLV Rebels	98:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWLL
- San Diego State Aztecs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.01.26	Grand Canyon Antelopes - San Diego State Aztecs	70:69 ✺
17.01.26	San Diego State Aztecs - New Mexico Lobos	83:79 ✺
14.01.26	Wyoming Cowboys - San Diego State Aztecs	57:74 ✺
10.01.26	San Diego State Aztecs - Fresno State Bulldogs	71:52 ✺
06.01.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs	68:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.03.25	UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs	74:67
18.01.25	San Diego State Aztecs - UNLV Rebels	68:76
14.03.24	UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs	71:74 OT
05.03.24	UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs	62:58
06.01.24	San Diego State Aztecs - UNLV Rebels	72:61
11.02.23	San Diego State Aztecs - UNLV Rebels	82:71
31.12.22	UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs	67:76

UNLV Rebels - San Diego State Aztecs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide