Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 30

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona)


	Verona		Napoli Basket

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.68	1.51
	2.8	1.45
	2.57	1.52	Watch
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.27)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
36.2%

Napoli Basket
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Verona - Napoli Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Napoli Basket will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

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Preview

Verona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napoli Basket is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napoli Basket could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Napoli Basket will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 80-74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.04.23	Trieste - Verona	85:77 ✺
23.04.23	Verona - Scafati	78:86 ✺
18.04.23	Basket Trento - Verona	69:70 ✺
16.04.23	Verona - Olimpia Milano	61:83 ✺
08.04.23	Basket Brescia - Verona	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLL
- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.04.23	Napoli Basket - Basket Pesaro	98:87 ✺
23.04.23	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:69 ✺
19.04.23	Olimpia Milano - Napoli Basket	88:76 ✺
16.04.23	Napoli Basket - Venezia	88:91 ✺
08.04.23	Virtus Bologna - Napoli Basket	81:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
26.12.22	Napoli Basket - Verona	74:80

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