Match Info

NKL - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge) 🌤️ ...


	Vilniaus Stekas		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	2.20	1.57
	2.00	1.67	Watch
	1.99	1.76
	2.14	1.61	Watch
	1.99	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
44.6%

Mažeikiai
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bucas D.	10. Kone A.
9. Seskus E.	5. Kupstas T.
8. Simeus W.	1. Lopukhov A.
12. Tarvydas D. (C)	41. Plintauskas A. (C)
10. Troska T.	4. Williams R.
Substitutes
15. Bryan W.	8. Adomavicius N.
13. Gecevicius M.	11. JaQuavian F.
26. Morkunas D.	12. Klimas L.
	3. Preibys E.
	25. Prongos D. L.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Pakamanis D.

Preview

In recent outings, Vilniaus Stekas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mažeikiai is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vilniaus Stekas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 302:316 (averaging 75.5:79 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vilniaus Stekas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 163:162 goals (averaging 81.5:81 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
14	Ukmerges Stekas	9	3	6	737:817	3
16	Mazeikiai	9	1	8	668:777	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
22.10.26	Telšiai - Vilniaus Stekas	104:70 ✺
17.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Olimpas Palanga	76:107 ✺
15.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	73:87 ✺
10.10.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	89:98 ✺
08.10.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	108:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
22.10.26	Mažeikiai - Plunges Olimpas	72:80 ✺
17.10.26	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	77:90 ✺
15.10.26	Kėdainiai - Mažeikiai	92:85 ✺
10.10.26	Mažeikiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	62:91 ✺
08.10.26	Telšiai - Mažeikiai	83:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
20.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vilniaus Stekas	79:74
18.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	88:82
24.11.22	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	75:80
08.10.22	Mažeikiai - Vilniaus Stekas	75:65

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