Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Cricket
Australia	Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Nigeria	SuperSport Cricket
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
South-africa	SuperSport Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Go


	Adelaide Strikers		Melbourne Renegades

	1	2
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.35
	1.58	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.81)	2.35 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Strikers
60.1%

Melbourne Renegades
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Strikers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Strikers's performance.

Melbourne Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Renegades might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Strikers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Strikers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Renegades could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Strikers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Renegades will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strikers won 3.

Strikers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Renegades has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Renegades may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strikers won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3085:2828. (average 162.4:148.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Strikers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1372:1249. (average 171.5:156.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Adelaide Strikers - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Strikers
Australian Big Bash T20
13.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Adelaide Strikers	86:83 ✺
11.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Perth Scorchers	200:232 ✺
09.01.26	Hobart Hurricanes - Adelaide Strikers	178:141 ✺
06.01.26	Adelaide Strikers - Sydney Thunder	165:159 ✺
04.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Adelaide Strikers	153:120 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Melbourne Renegades
Australian Big Bash T20
15.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Perth Scorchers	169:219 ✺
12.01.26	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades	140:170 ✺
10.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	166:170 ✺
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
02.01.25	Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers	142:143
29.12.23	Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers	178:177
24.01.23	Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers	143:142
10.01.23	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades	202:182
09.12.21	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades	149:100
07.12.21	Melbourne Renegades - Adelaide Strikers	153:151
08.01.21	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades	177:178

Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Renegades: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide