Match Info

County Championship One

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: County Cricket Ground (Chelmsford)


	Essex		Sussex

	1	2
	1.65	2.25
	1.62	2.19
	1.64	2.3
	1.59	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essex
58.1%

Sussex
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sussex has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essex than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sussex than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essex won 3.

Recent performances by Essex have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sussex has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Essex will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essex won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4167:3584. (average 208.4:179.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Essex won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1495:1389. (average 186.9:173.6).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
3	Sussex	14	7	3	4	0	7196:6599	195
8	Essex	14	4	7	3	0	6200:6299	136

Last Results with these Odds

Sussex - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essex Eagles
County Championship One Cricket
27.08.26	Essex - Surrey	279:481 ✺
20.08.26	Somerset - Essex	572:570 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Essex - Yorkshire	151:155 ✺
07.08.26	Glamorgan - Essex	309:312 ✺
02.08.26	Essex - Worcestershire	376:269 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Sussex County Cricket Club
County Championship One Cricket
27.08.26	Sussex - Somerset	312:552 ✺
20.08.26	Warwickshire - Sussex	367:363 ✺
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.26	Middlesex - Sussex	354:262 ✺
07.08.26	Sussex - Worcestershire	333:334 ✺
02.08.26	Derbyshire - Sussex	325:137 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Royal London One-Day Cup
29.07.26	Sussex - Essex	320:316
Vitality Blast
03.07.26	Sussex - Essex	104:204
22.05.26	Essex - Sussex	191:192
County Championship One Cricket
22.07.25	Sussex - Essex	204:504
Vitality Blast
11.07.25	Essex - Sussex	148:145
13.06.25	Sussex - Essex	Abandoned
Royal London One-Day Cup
14.08.24	Sussex - Essex	226:227

Essex - Sussex: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide