Match Info

Plunket Shield

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Plunket Shield 🌤️ ...


	Otago Volts		Wellington Firebirds

	1	2
	1.48	2.6
	1.44	2.6
	1.47	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	2.63 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otago Volts
64.2%

Wellington Firebirds
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otago Volts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Wellington Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago Volts than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 3.

Otago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wellington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Otago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Otago won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 4588:4732. (average 229.4:236.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2225:2429. (average 222.5:242.9).

Standings

2024/25

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
2	Wellington Firebirds	8	4	3	1	0	4342:3664	100
5	Otago Volts	8	1	4	3	0	3879:4252	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago Volts
Plunket Shield
17.03.26	Otago Volts - Northern Brave	258:339 ✺
08.03.26	Auckland Aces - Otago Volts	228:343 ✺
Ford Trophy
16.02.26	Otago Volts - Auckland Aces	158:161 ✺
12.02.26	Central Stags - Otago Volts	Abandoned ✺
09.02.26	Otago Volts - Canterbury Kings	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWL??
- Wellington Firebirds
Plunket Shield
17.03.26	Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces	309:414 ✺
08.03.26	Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings	208:336 ✺
Ford Trophy
19.02.26	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	349:138 ✺
17.02.26	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	281:163 ✺
12.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	69:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ford Trophy
06.02.26	Otago Volts - Wellington Firebirds	213:269
Super Smash
14.01.26	Otago Volts - Wellington Firebirds	136:132
08.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	150:152
Plunket Shield
17.11.25	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	224:522
Ford Trophy
07.11.25	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	228:227
Plunket Shield
04.03.25	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	355:283
Ford Trophy
13.02.25	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts	331:349

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago Volts
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts
- Wellington Firebirds
Ford Trophy
27.10.26	Wellington Firebirds - Otago Volts

Otago Volts - Wellington Firebirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide