Match Info

The Ford Trophy

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Ford Trophy 🌤️ ...


	Wellington Firebirds		Northern Brave

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.73	2.01
	1.75	2
	1.67	2.24	Watch
	1.72	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	2.07 (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Firebirds
54.9%

Northern Brave
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Northern Brave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Brave than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave Predictions

Users Predictions: Wellington Firebirds will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wellington Firebirds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.

In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Northern Brave is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wellington will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 4493:4505. (average 224.7:225.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1761:1609. (average 195.7:178.8).

Standings

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
5	Northern Brave	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Wellington Firebirds	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Wellington Firebirds - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Firebirds
Ford Trophy
12.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	69:68 ✺
09.02.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	240:243 ✺
06.02.26	Otago Volts - Wellington Firebirds	213:269 ✺
03.02.26	Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags	289:307 ✺
Super Smash
22.01.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	136:178 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Northern Brave
Ford Trophy
12.02.26	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	Abandoned ✺
09.02.26	Northern Brave - Central Stags	309:240 ✺
06.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Northern Brave	162:158 ✺
03.02.26	Otago Volts - Northern Brave	148:149 ✺
Super Smash
30.01.26	Northern Brave - Canterbury Kings	173:171 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super Smash
10.01.26	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	185:189
30.12.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	181:194
Plunket Shield
12.12.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	571:319
Ford Trophy
02.11.25	Northern Brave - Wellington Firebirds	233:234
Plunket Shield
20.03.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	189:119
Ford Trophy
05.02.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	201:200
Super Smash
29.01.25	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	Abandoned

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