Match Info

Plunket Shield

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Plunket Shield 🌤️ ...


	Wellington Firebirds		Auckland Aces

	1	X	2
	2.31		1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)		1.61 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Firebirds
41.1%

Auckland Aces
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Auckland Aces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland Aces than the current prediction. (-3%)

Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.

In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auckland Aces has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Auckland Aces is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 4100:4545. (average 205:227.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1663:1698. (average 184.8:188.7).

Standings

2024/25

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
2	Wellington Firebirds	8	4	3	1	0	4342:3664	100
6	Auckland Aces	8	1	3	4	0	3838:3890	51

Last Results with these Odds

Wellington Firebirds - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Firebirds
Plunket Shield
08.03.26	Wellington Firebirds - Canterbury Kings	208:336 ✺
Ford Trophy
19.02.26	Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds	349:138 ✺
17.02.26	Wellington Firebirds - Northern Brave	281:163 ✺
12.02.26	Canterbury Kings - Wellington Firebirds	69:68 ✺
09.02.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	240:243 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Auckland Aces
Plunket Shield
08.03.26	Auckland Aces - Otago Volts	228:343 ✺
Ford Trophy
16.02.26	Otago Volts - Auckland Aces	158:161 ✺
12.02.26	Northern Brave - Auckland Aces	Abandoned ✺
09.02.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	240:243 ✺
06.02.26	Central Stags - Auckland Aces	164:163 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

Ford Trophy
09.02.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	240:243
Super Smash
01.01.26	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	Abandoned
28.12.25	Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces	187:189
Plunket Shield
04.12.25	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	350:249
Ford Trophy
11.11.25	Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces	232:286
17.02.25	Wellington Firebirds - Auckland Aces	198:194
Super Smash
26.01.25	Auckland Aces - Wellington Firebirds	150:152

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