Match Info

T20 World Cup - Second stage

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video
Canada	Willow TV
India	JioStar, JioTV app
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Willow TV
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Sri Lanka		Pakistan

	1	2
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.3	1.5
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2.38	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.87)	1.54 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 333.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sri Lanka
39.4%

Pakistan
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sri Lanka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sri Lanka's form might have worsened.

Pakistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pakistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sri Lanka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakistan than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pakistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sri Lanka - Pakistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sri Lanka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Pakistan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sri Lanka: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sri Lanka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pakistan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sri Lanka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 5095:5595. (average 254.8:279.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sri Lanka cricket
T20 World Cup
25.02.26	Sri Lanka - New Zealand	107:168 ✺
22.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	95:146 ✺
19.02.26	Sri Lanka - Zimbabwe	178:182 ✺
16.02.26	Australia - Sri Lanka	181:184 ✺
12.02.26	Sri Lanka - Oman	225:120 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- Pakistan cricket
T20 World Cup
24.02.26	England - Pakistan	166:164 ✺
21.02.26	Pakistan - New Zealand	Abandoned ✺
18.02.26	Namibia - Pakistan	97:199 ✺
15.02.26	India - Pakistan	175:114 ✺
10.02.26	Pakistan - USA	190:158 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

Twenty20 International
11.01.26	Sri Lanka - Pakistan	160:146
09.01.26	Sri Lanka - Pakistan	Abandoned
07.01.26	Sri Lanka - Pakistan	128:129
T20 Tri Series Pakistan
29.11.25	Pakistan - Sri Lanka	118:114
27.11.25	Pakistan - Sri Lanka	178:184
22.11.25	Pakistan - Sri Lanka	131:128
One Day International
16.11.25	Pakistan - Sri Lanka	215:211

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