Match Info

Grand Slam

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	PDC TV


	Chris Dobey		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.31
	1.61	2.15	Watch
	1.54	2.35
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	2.3 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
59.6%

Damon Heta
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chris Dobey's performance.

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damon Heta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damon Heta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chris Dobey - Damon Heta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 8. Heta is ranked World Ranking: 12.

Dobey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dobey could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 4:5.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
08.11.25	Chris Dobey - Jurjen van der Velde	5:1 ✺
30.10.25	Chris Dobey - Jim Williams	6:3 ✺
25.10.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
23.10.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Dobey	3:6 ✺
18.10.25	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- Damon Heta
Darts
08.11.25	Damon Heta - Martin Lukeman	5:1 ✺
30.10.25	Damon Heta - Gabriel Clemens	4:6 ✺
23.10.25	Gian Van Veen - Damon Heta	6:3 ✺
18.10.25	Damon Heta - Steve Lennon	5:6 ✺
07.10.25	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.06.24	Damon Heta - Chris Dobey	6:5
10.04.23	Damon Heta - Chris Dobey	6:5
15.10.22	Damon Heta - Chris Dobey	6:4 best of 11 legs
11.12.20	Chris Dobey - Damon Heta	2:4 best of 7 legs

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