Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 1 - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Gerwyn Price

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.15	1.57
	2.31	1.61
	2.07	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.15	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
42.2%

Gerwyn Price
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Damon Heta - Gerwyn Price Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:6

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 7. Price is ranked World Ranking: 10.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heta won 2.

Heta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Price is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Price will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Price to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Heta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 44:57 (average 4.4:5.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
08.03.25	Damon Heta - Michael Smith	6:0 ✺
01.03.25	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	9:10 ✺
01.03.25	Connor Scuut - Damon Heta	7:10 ✺
28.02.25	Damon Heta - Kim Huybrechts	10:2 ✺
10.02.25	Damon Heta - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Gerwyn Price
Darts
08.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Gian Van Veen	6:2 ✺
06.03.25	Gerwyn Price - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6 ✺
28.02.25	Gerwyn Price - Connor Scuut	9:10 ✺
27.02.25	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	4:6 ✺
20.02.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
01.02.25	Damon Heta - Gerwyn Price	4:3
10.08.24	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	6:4
01.11.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	7:4
24.09.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	6:5
12.08.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	3:6
12.08.22	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	6:5 best of 11 legs
27.02.22	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	6:2 best of 11 legs

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