Match Info

Premier League - Night 1 - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Utilita Arena (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...


	Luke Humphries		Gerwyn Price

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.32
	1.55	2.23
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.77	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.23 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
58%

Gerwyn Price
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gerwyn Price has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price Predictions

Users Predictions: Luke Humphries will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luke Humphries will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Price is ranked World Ranking: 12.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 1.

Humphries is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Price has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Humphries will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 96:99. (average 5.1:5.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Humphries - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.5%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
01.02.26	Luke Humphries - Gian Van Veen	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Luke Humphries - Luke Woodhouse	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	Luke Humphries - Dave Chisnall	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Gerwyn Price
Darts
01.02.26	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	5:4 ✺
01.02.26	Chris Dobey - Gerwyn Price	2:4 ✺
31.01.26	Jonny Clayton - Gerwyn Price	3:4 ✺
29.01.26	Gerwyn Price - James Hurrell	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Luke Littler - Gerwyn Price	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.01.26	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:5
16.11.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	16:13
13.07.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	3:6
07.06.25	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	6:3
01.05.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	5:6
27.02.25	Gerwyn Price - Luke Humphries	4:6
20.02.25	Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price	3:6

Luke Humphries - Gerwyn Price