Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alexandra Palace (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	22:40	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	22:40	See, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	23:40	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	22:40	L'Equipe
Germany	22:40	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	22:40	Sport 1
Netherlands	22:40	Viaplay
Norway	22:40	Viaplay
Slovakia	22:40	Voyo
Sweden	22:40	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United Kingdom	21:40	Sky Sports Darts, Sky Sports Main Event


	Michael Van Gerwen		Arno Merk

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Michael Van Gerwen
86.5%

Arno Merk
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arno Merk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Merk is ranked World Ranking: 163.

In recent matches, Van Gerwen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Gerwen is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
23.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Mitsuhiko Tatsunami	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:10 ✺
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2 ✺
09.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Arno Merk
Darts
23.12.25	Peter Wright - Arno Merk	0:3 ✺
11.12.25	Kim Huybrechts - Arno Merk	1:3 ✺
07.11.24	Leon Weber - Arno Merk	6:4 ✺
05.11.24	Arno Merk - Patrick Tringler	6:4 ✺
19.04.24	Arno Merk - Luke Littler	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWL

Michael Van Gerwen - Arno Merk