Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	See, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	L'Equipe
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts, Sky Sports Main Event


	Michael Van Gerwen		Arno Merk

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.11	6.4	Watch
	1.08	6.07	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.11	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.11)	6.99 ↑ (6.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
86.5%

Arno Merk
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arno Merk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Arno Merk Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Merk is ranked World Ranking: 163.

In recent matches, Van Gerwen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Gerwen is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
23.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - William OConnor	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Mitsuhiko Tatsunami	3:1 ✺
13.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:10 ✺
11.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Gary Anderson	5:2 ✺
09.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Niko Springer	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Arno Merk
Darts
23.12.25	Peter Wright - Arno Merk	0:3 ✺
11.12.25	Kim Huybrechts - Arno Merk	1:3 ✺
07.11.24	Leon Weber - Arno Merk	6:4 ✺
05.11.24	Arno Merk - Patrick Tringler	6:4 ✺
19.04.24	Arno Merk - Luke Littler	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWL

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