Match Info

European Tour 12 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Michael Van Gerwen		Matthew Dennant

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.04	7.22	Watch
	1.2	4.29
	1.21	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.21)	5 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
81.1%

Matthew Dennant
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Matthew Dennant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Van Gerwen - Matthew Dennant Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:2

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Dennant is ranked World Ranking: 75.

Van Gerwen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Van Gerwen is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
14.09.25	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	6:11 ✺
14.09.25	Luke Humphries - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
13.09.25	Robert Cross - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6 ✺
12.09.25	Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6 ✺
07.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWL
- Matthew Dennant
Darts
19.09.25	Andrew Gilding - Matthew Dennant	4:6 ✺
29.07.25	Matthew Dennant - Tytus Kanik	6:2 ✺
26.04.25	Martin Schindler - Matthew Dennant	6:3 ✺
25.04.25	Matthew Dennant - Rowby John Rodriguez	6:2 ✺
09.04.25	Adam Warner - Matthew Dennant	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

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